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Louisville will roll over stagnant Indiana

It feels like the ACC-Big Ten Challenge all over again as Louisville hits the road on Saturday for a rare true non-conference road game against Indiana.

Since knocking off Marquette Nov. 14, Indiana has gone 1-5 against the spread, with that line cover being its 64-62 win over Penn State on Tuesday.

The defense will have its hands full with the Cardinals coming in ranked 22nd in offensive efficiency while playing at a nearly identical pace to Indiana, which is 96th.

The reason Indiana’s offense has been stagnant in the early going is turnovers, with the team ranking 276th among Division I teams in turnovers per possession. It helps that Indiana forces 3.6 more turnovers per game on the defensive end than Louisville, but someone is going to need to step up and give guard Romeo Langford a helping hand.

The freshman is leading Indiana with 17.9 points per game, scoring at least 12 in every game this season, but point guard Rob Phinisee has been unable to duplicate the consistency. In the Hoosiers’ six-game run with just one cover, he failed to score 10 points in the five non-covers and had three games with two assists or fewer.

With Louisville bringing in a lineup that goes 10 deep that is on a three-game stretch that includes a home win over Michigan State, a true road win against Seton Hall, and an 86-41 blasting of Central Arkansas, taking the points is advised with the road team.

THE PLAY: Louisville.

Greg Peterson writes about college basketball for Point Spread Weekly, VSiN’s digital magazine for sports bettors. He also is a producer for the “That’s Gold! with Steve Hytner” podcast.